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    I also just want to add, I absolutely hope the Insigne thing is true. Same for Belotti. I mean, who wouldn't. If their hearts are in it.

    I think it's important to try to understand things.

    I don't really want mercenaries here. I think that's what Soteldo is. I don't think it ever works.

    I fear the role agents and the SSH recruitment/renewal process play in these things. Would be happy to be proven wrong, but don't think my concerns are just "negativity".
    "There are some people who might have better technique than me, and some may be fitter than me, but the main thing is tactics. With most players, tactics are missing. You can divide tactics into insight, trust, and daring." - Johan Cruyff

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    Quote Originally Posted by ensco View Post
    I also just want to add, I absolutely hope the Insigne thing is true. Same for Belotti. I mean, who wouldn't. If their hearts are in it.

    I think it's important to try to understand things.

    I don't really want mercenaries here. I think that's what Soteldo is. I don't think it ever works.

    I fear the role agents and the SSH recruitment/renewal process play in these things. Would be happy to be proven wrong, but don't think my concerns are just "negativity".
    I'm curious to know if the narrative Goodson mentioned a few pages ago is true: that TFC offered something in the range that most would consider reasonable for Insigne was rebuffed, then came back with double. Can think of a lot of unions who would be very happy if their employers negotiated that way!

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    Quote Originally Posted by ensco View Post
    I need help with the "let's go build a superteam" argument, from the ownership POV.

    TFC have been the top spending team in the league, by a lot, ever since the Leiweke era. They have been on the "superteam" model, at least in MLS terms, for quite a while. They have probably spent $5-10M a year more than, say, Seattle or LA Galaxy, the two teams I think they might most closely compare themselves to. (If I am wrong about these numbers, I am sure someone will correct me. The actual amounts aren't core to my argument, they have outspent all others by a lot.)

    So that's, to pick a number, call it $5M a year for 7 years, a $35M total incremental investment in being an "MLS superteam". Has it worked?

    Well, there's the second half of 2016, 2017 and the 2018 CCL run. For sure. Some of that was still historic by league standards

    Playoff outcomes are a bit random. The best measure of a superteam is regular season dominance. Which we didn't have after 2017. Far from it. We were one of the worst teams in the league in 2018 and 2021, which should be inconceivable in this model, and which surely had big negative financial consequences. For that matter we were pretty mediocre in 2019 most of the year, too. (yes, I know about the Cup run in 2019, and yes, we were weirdly good in Hartford in 2020. But these seem like things KC or Portland or Columbus or whomever do regularly, with much lower payrolls.)

    So what was the problem? I think it's the three DP rule. You have what happened here with Jozy (Soteldo and Pozo too) and you are screwed. Superteams can't work with this kind of vulnerability, it's why superteams in other leagues load up with so many good players.

    ________

    So imagine you are on the MLSE Board or Directors. You are inclined to believe. You want reasons to do this. TFC is maybe the only asset in the portfolio with serious growth potential.

    The big, call it $35M incremental investment you already made hasn't worked out great, and how, exactly, does paying DPs even more money than we did with Altidore, address this problem exactly? I mean, we can talk all we want about "sticking it to Dallas/Vancouver", but so long as the cap/DP rules are in place...

    The Qatar 2022 and WC 2026 arguments are big. They could be a real booster shot. But do you need to spend a hundred million or more to capitalize there? Isn't Montreal showing you a way to do that for a tiny fraction of those dollars?

    btw you don't get to just tell Bogers that asset values have gone to the moon, or MLSE are rich and it's rounding error. Budgets connect to revenues. Just because everyone in Toronto has a house now worth more than a million dollars, doesn't mean everyone is buying a Maserati.

    Bottom line: this isn't just a "vision" question, it's a structural question, you are not just going to be persuaded by a stirring speech from Tanenbaum. Who is 76 years old and is not guaranteed to be the one to see a 5-10 year plan of this magnitude through.
    Couple of things…

    I would say our first few attempts at a super team were flawed. Not so much in that we played a few guys a boatload of money but more so that we picked the wrong horses. Defoe didn’t want to be here, Jozy was injury prone. We had the budget but not the know-how. You would hope things are better now. Not convinced the young DP route is the answer. In fact, I think it’s best to avoid these types unless it’s a domestic player with a clear track record.

    Second, I wouldn’t be so sure the corner office is looking at this from a revenue perspective. Anyone who is taking too value oriented an approach in todays (overvalued) market is sitting on the sidelines. Even the most conservative voices in the room feel pressure to play. For an asset like this one with this much of an increase in valuation and good future prospects? I think they’d shovel cash at it and look for cash flows down the road but not right away.

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    Superteam and MLS wont happen,too many stupid rules,imports,tam gam,6mil cap,no doubt in my mind if mlse could spend 40- 50 mil on a roster they would but cant,so its mish mash of rosters...80k canadians and 7 mil dps,

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    I think the answer to Ensco’s point is that Manning, particularly with Curtis, was not pursuing the “super team”. Defoe and Bradley or Gio Jozy amd Bradley was a super team and Gio a brilliant brilliant signing. Poz is a tidy player but never Gio or Insigne or Defoe, and Soteldo not even in that conversation. If we are all in for Insigne, (and I still have doubts about his sincerity on this, hope I am wrong,) then it is a return to Leiweike “why can’t we be great”.

    Yes Manning spent money. But it wasn’t with anywhere near the ambition level of this off-season seems to be. And if I am right in that, it explains MLSE: lots of money on decent players didn’t work so we will spend way more on great ones to become a dominant North American team, certainly most talked about, in the ru. Up to the World Cup. Sort of like the 70’s Argos. Although hopefully with better results.

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    Quote Originally Posted by MightyDM View Post
    I think the answer to Ensco’s point is that Manning, particularly with Curtis, was not pursuing the “super team”.
    They weren't persuing a 'super team' because they were trying to maintain a 'super team' because it was easier than building a new one. Classic Curtis move.

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    pretty good satire.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Oldtimer View Post
    pretty good satire.
    Indeed. Had to share

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    I share the bewilderment at the signing. The one thing I disagree with you on Encso is Soteldo being a mercenary. Not that he isn't, but literally everyone on our team is. Fro, Manning to BB down to every player they're all here because Bogers turn on the money tap and if that money tap ever turns off they'd all go with it, every single one of them. Except in *extraordinarily* rare circumstances loyalty from players to a club is a marketing gimmick and not a real thing. They have themselves to look out for, a very finite amoiunt of time to make money and win trophies and that comes first for all of them - and rightly so. Seba was only here for the money, he even left us for the money, and the guy is TFCs GOAT so I don't see this as a bad thing it just is what it is. Francesco Tottis are the exception, not the norm. As for Soteldo, in general I think he had a pretty good season in what was incredibly trying circumstances with Covid and having absolutely 0 in terms of top level strikers to work with

    But I do also wonder about the spending. I was worried about the Jozy re-signing percisely because I thought it's only a matter of time until Bogers realize what a terrible ROI they've gotten with TFC and that deal was one of the worst examples. Basically I was worried it'd be the straw that broke the camels back. They've absolutely sunk money in and gotten what? Over the course of the money era, eg 'bloody big deal' to now, but for one season they've gotten a frankly very mediocre return on any key metric for the money to put in - points per game ($ to point earned we must be the worst team in MLS over the past 7 years, right?), MLS cups, CCLs, TV ratings, money recouped on selling players - there's nothing they've gotten that they couldn't have gotten a hell of alot cheaper and hasn't been gotten a hell of alot cheaper elsewhere

    So I'm pleasantly amazed by the numbers they're still willing to throw around here. I have no understanding as to why, that they see the next two WCs as massive opportunities is the only thing that makes sense, but at least they're doing it. As a fan I'll stop trying to understand for a bit and just enjoy the ride if this is the kind of signing we're going to be trying to make. At least until the other shoe drops.
    Last edited by JoesphNdo; 12-30-2021 at 01:43 PM.

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    ^was wondering… lol

    These guys, lets call them the Italians or whoever they are… are going to love Toronto. The last two years have been brutal on Canadian teams.

    We are not out of this pandemic yet and there will still be adjustments but we love a winner (and it looks like we are intent on building one).

    The next 4 years if we are serious about building soccer in Canada are going to be pretty awesome.
    Last edited by Bushmancan; 12-30-2021 at 01:43 PM.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ensco View Post
    I need help with the "let's go build a superteam" argument, from the ownership POV.

    TFC have been the top spending team in the league, by a lot, ever since the Leiweke era. They have been on the "superteam" model, at least in MLS terms, for quite a while. They have probably spent $5-10M a year more than, say, Seattle or LA Galaxy, the two teams I think they might most closely compare themselves to. (If I am wrong about these numbers, I am sure someone will correct me. The actual amounts aren't core to my argument, they have outspent all others by a lot.)

    So that's, to pick a number, call it $5M a year for 7 years, a $35M total incremental investment in being an "MLS superteam". Has it worked?

    Well, there's the second half of 2016, 2017 and the 2018 CCL run. For sure. Some of that was still historic by league standards

    Playoff outcomes are a bit random. The best measure of a superteam is regular season dominance. Which we didn't have after 2017. Far from it. We were one of the worst teams in the league in 2018 and 2021, which should be inconceivable in this model, and which surely had big negative financial consequences. For that matter we were pretty mediocre in 2019 most of the year, too. (yes, I know about the Cup run in 2019, and yes, we were weirdly good in Hartford in 2020. But these seem like things KC or Portland or Columbus or whomever do regularly, with much lower payrolls.)

    So what was the problem? I think it's the three DP rule. You have what happened here with Jozy (Soteldo and Pozo too) and you are screwed. Superteams can't work with this kind of vulnerability, it's why superteams in other leagues load up with so many good players.

    ________

    So imagine you are on the MLSE Board or Directors. You are inclined to believe. You want reasons to do this. TFC is maybe the only asset in the portfolio with serious growth potential.

    The big, call it $35M incremental investment you already made hasn't worked out great, and how, exactly, does paying DPs even more money than we did with Altidore, address this problem exactly? I mean, we can talk all we want about "sticking it to Dallas/Vancouver", but so long as the cap/DP rules are in place...

    The Qatar 2022 and WC 2026 arguments are big. They could be a real booster shot. But do you need to spend a hundred million or more to capitalize there? Isn't Montreal showing you a way to do that for a tiny fraction of those dollars?

    btw you don't get to just tell Bogers that asset values have gone to the moon, or MLSE are rich and it's rounding error. Budgets connect to revenues. Just because everyone in Toronto has a house now worth more than a million dollars, doesn't mean everyone is buying a Maserati.

    Bottom line: this isn't just a "vision" question, it's a structural question, you are not just going to be persuaded by a stirring speech from Tanenbaum. Who is 76 years old and is not guaranteed to be the one to see a 5-10 year plan of this magnitude through.
    I would say that most of the spend is a result of a desire for relevance. With the Leafs, Raptors, and Jays, we already struggle to be news worthy and reportable. Getting the big names, makes us noteworthy whether or not we win. If we combine noteworthiness with winning we become a worthwhile property for MLSE to hold.

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    Even our homegrowns clamor to leave for Europe. There is no such thing as loyalty to a club anymore. There is only loyalty to one's career and maximizing career earnings.

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    Sounds like Manning is heading to Italy to talk to the man himself.


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    Quote Originally Posted by JoesphNdo View Post
    I share the bewilderment at the signing. The one thing I disagree with you on Encso is Soteldo being a mercenary. Not that he isn't, but literally everyone on our team is. Fro, Manning to BB down to every player they're all here because Bogers turn on the money tap and if that money tap ever turns off they'd all go with it, every single one of them. Except in *extraordinarily* rare circumstances loyalty from players to a club is a marketing gimmick and not a real thing. They have themselves to look out for, a very finite amoiunt of time to make money and win trophies and that comes first for all of them - and rightly so. Seba was only here for the money, he even left us for the money, and the guy is TFCs GOAT so I don't see this as a bad thing it just is what it is. Francesco Tottis are the exception, not the norm. As for Soteldo, in general I think he had a pretty good season in what was incredibly trying circumstances with Covid and having absolutely 0 in terms of top level strikers to work with
    I see what you’re staying but I think there’s a grey area in here somewhere.

    Maybe loyalty is the wrong way to describe it but perhaps it’s engagement or buy-in to a project. We need guys who see their success as the team’s success. Liking the city is great if it helps you perform on the field.

    Both Giovinco and Solteldo would sell themselves to the highest bidder. But Giovinco is a borderline crazed maniac about winning and wants to help the team. Solteldo? As far as I can tell he gives zero fucks as long as he gets his.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ag futbol View Post
    I see what you’re staying but I think there’s a grey area in here somewhere.

    Maybe loyalty is the wrong way to describe it but perhaps it’s engagement or buy-in to a project. We need guys who see their success as the team’s success. Liking the city is great if it helps you perform on the field.

    Both Giovinco and Solteldo would sell themselves to the highest bidder. But Giovinco is a borderline crazed maniac about winning and wants to help the team. Solteldo? As far as I can tell he gives zero fucks as long as he gets his.
    I hear you, I just think Soteldo gets harshly judged here. It's not easy moving to a country completely unlike where you came from and then have Covid in the middle and be stuck in a hotel in Florida for a large part of it while the team completely falls apart in general and then on the field he's given absolutely no forward to work with which he really needs. I think that's alot of factors to consider and honestly with that in mind I think he put in decent performances and put up good numbers

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    Quote Originally Posted by JoesphNdo View Post
    I hear you, I just think Soteldo gets harshly judged here. It's not easy moving to a country completely unlike where you came from and then have Covid in the middle and be stuck in a hotel in Florida for a large part of it while the team completely falls apart in general and then on the field he's given absolutely no forward to work with which he really needs. I think that's alot of factors to consider and honestly with that in mind I think he put in decent performances and put up good numbers
    Been thinking about your point on him above and here. I think you are quite right, on reflection.

    Soteldo came into a really bad situation. Armas was a joke. Beyond that, if Poz and/or Jozy had been mostly available, and we had been a competitive team, things could have been different.

    Also yes, they are all 100% about the money. Just the same as you or I would be.

    But I think the likelihood that Soteldo wouldn’t “fit” here was obviously high, and I do fear that less with Insigne.
    "There are some people who might have better technique than me, and some may be fitter than me, but the main thing is tactics. With most players, tactics are missing. You can divide tactics into insight, trust, and daring." - Johan Cruyff

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    Quote Originally Posted by ensco View Post
    Been thinking about your point on him above and here. I think you are quite right, on reflection.

    Soteldo came into a really bad situation. Armas was a joke. Beyond that, if Poz and/or Jozy had been mostly available, and we had been a competitive team, things could have been different.
    100% agree, I wouldn’t be opposed to him staying if we were going for a dominant No. 9 but there is no place for him with Insigne. I do think with a healthy Insigne, Poz and our midfield there will be space for everyone so even a reasonably solid No 9 will excel. A great one will dominate.

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    Manning could also use the Italian trip to speak to guys like Bellotti, Destro and Criscito in person provided some of those rumors are true.

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    Hope they send the Bradleys along, I think they would have more sway

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    Realistically since big money started flowing in 2014, there's be 2 and a half seasons max of strong performances. Mid-2016 to CCL 2018 and arguably first half 2020.

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    from what i saw yefe worked his butt off when he played...mullins and dywer in middle lol,3 -4 goals missed a couple pks and 10 assist in 24 games maybe 15 starts not bad for under 2 mil

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    I have to say, the more obvious road, if I was management and had been asked to invest big dollars, would be to go crazy on a U 22 strategy.

    Do what NYCFC did but kick it up 5x. Spend say $25M on three studs. If there is financial distress in Europe, it'll create opportunities in this market too.

    You have a shot a selling a guy for big money, which you don’t have with the Insigne/Bellotti idea.

    Rather than the super team, try to build an Ajax, Dortmund, Porto, a place young studs want to come on their way to the really big time.

    Its just a better recognition of who we are, what the league rules will ultimately facilitate, and what we might be able to accomplish.

    (But I am fine with Insigne!)
    "There are some people who might have better technique than me, and some may be fitter than me, but the main thing is tactics. With most players, tactics are missing. You can divide tactics into insight, trust, and daring." - Johan Cruyff

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    Quote Originally Posted by ensco View Post
    I have to say, the more obvious road, if I was management and had been asked to invest big dollars, would be to go crazy on a U 22 strategy.

    Do what NYCFC did but kick it up 5x. Spend say $25M on three studs. If there is financial distress in Europe, it'll create opportunities in this market too.

    You have a shot a selling a guy for big money, which you don’t have with the Insigne/Bellotti idea.

    Rather than the super team, try to build an Ajax, Dortmund, Porto, a place young studs want to come on their way to the really big time.

    Its just a better recognition of who we are, what the league rules will ultimately facilitate, and what we might be able to accomplish.

    (But I am fine with Insigne!)
    NYFC has 12 to 15 imports on the roster,because of the stupid green card rule,that is a big advantage.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ensco View Post
    I have to say, the more obvious road, if I was management and had been asked to invest big dollars, would be to go crazy on a U 22 strategy.

    Do what NYCFC did but kick it up 5x. Spend say $25M on three studs. If there is financial distress in Europe, it'll create opportunities in this market too.

    You have a shot a selling a guy for big money, which you don’t have with the Insigne/Bellotti idea.

    Rather than the super team, try to build an Ajax, Dortmund, Porto, a place young studs want to come on their way to the really big time.

    Its just a better recognition of who we are, what the league rules will ultimately facilitate, and what we might be able to accomplish.

    (But I am fine with Insigne!)
    Yeah I agree with this 100%. Long term I think it is the much more sustainable approach. Insigne and co are potentially incredible, but it's an 'all eggs in one basket' approach. You have to assume Bogers don't keep the money tap on forever without return so it only takes a couple of busts before they cut the team off and if we haven't invested in youth and infrastructure we'd potentially be cut off without much to show for it. That's a worst case scenario for sure but this off season feels like a gigantic all in bet where, if it all goes well, we win big but if we lose that could be it for us as a super team for now.

    Basically if they throw this kind of money this off season then we BETTER start showing a return and fast, on field and off field.

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    Quote Originally Posted by JoesphNdo View Post
    Yeah I agree with this 100%. Long term I think it is the much more sustainable approach. Insigne and co are potentially incredible, but it's an 'all eggs in one basket' approach. You have to assume Bogers don't keep the money tap on forever without return so it only takes a couple of busts before they cut the team off and if we haven't invested in youth and infrastructure we'd potentially be cut off without much to show for it. That's a worst case scenario for sure but this off season feels like a gigantic all in bet where, if it all goes well, we win big but if we lose that could be it for us as a super team for now.

    Basically if they throw this kind of money this off season then we BETTER start showing a return and fast, on field and off field.
    What do you mean "no return." TFC is worth 65 times what MLSE paid for it.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Canary10 View Post
    What do you mean "no return." TFC is worth 65 times what MLSE paid for it.
    That's independent of the crazy spending. They could have spent 1/3 of what they have and it wouldn't have hurt their valuation by that amount

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    Quote Originally Posted by JoesphNdo View Post
    That's independent of the crazy spending. They could have spent 1/3 of what they have and it wouldn't have hurt their valuation by that amount
    Are Montreal and Vancouver worth anywhere near that? Or Colorado or Dallas?

    Regardless there has been a massive return that justifies being a big spender.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ensco View Post
    I have to say, the more obvious road, if I was management and had been asked to invest big dollars, would be to go crazy on a U 22 strategy.

    Do what NYCFC did but kick it up 5x. Spend say $25M on three studs. If there is financial distress in Europe, it'll create opportunities in this market too.

    You have a shot a selling a guy for big money, which you don’t have with the Insigne/Bellotti idea.

    Rather than the super team, try to build an Ajax, Dortmund, Porto, a place young studs want to come on their way to the really big time.

    Its just a better recognition of who we are, what the league rules will ultimately facilitate, and what we might be able to accomplish.

    (But I am fine with Insigne!)
    Problem is that you're likely to end up with two stiffs like the ones Miami paid big bucks for, got no production from, and lost all that money on than some rare sellable star like Almiron, thus why it hasn't happened often in MLS ever. Whether the failure with those two Argie players reflects badly on Miami in further recruiting from there I don't know but it can't be good and it was just a bad look all around.

    There is no track record in MLS of buying and selling at an upcharge and that's not MLSE's goal anyway. It's eyes on the product and being a full on seller won't do that.

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ultra & Proud View Post
    Problem is that you're likely to end up with two stiffs like the ones Miami paid big bucks for, got no production from, and lost all that money on than some rare sellable star like Almiron, thus why it hasn't happened often in MLS ever. Whether the failure with those two Argie players reflects badly on Miami in further recruiting from there I don't know but it can't be good and it was just a bad look all around.

    There is no track record in MLS of buying and selling at an upcharge and that's not MLSE's goal anyway. It's eyes on the product and being a full on seller won't do that.
    I don't fully understand what happened in Miami but I am very wary of the South American market, for us. We are not that team and this is not that city.

    I would say the U 22 signing type I would most like us to copy is Dejan Joveljic at LAG. He cost $4M out of Eintracht Frankfurt, and couldn't get into Frankfurt's lineup in part because they signed... Borre!

    But Joveljic had 18 goals in 34 games on loan in the Austrian league last year. He got limited minutes at LAG because Chicharito is in front of him, so we will see next year ... but this is the U 22 player profile I would seek for TFC.... and if they all came from Italy, that would be fine.
    Last edited by ensco; 12-30-2021 at 05:42 PM.
    "There are some people who might have better technique than me, and some may be fitter than me, but the main thing is tactics. With most players, tactics are missing. You can divide tactics into insight, trust, and daring." - Johan Cruyff

 

 

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