I have a slightly different methodology for calculating total points than I use average betting odds for win loss and tie and then convert them to probabilities then multiply probability of the event by points associated with the event.
I averaged betting odds for remaining home games and remaining away games.
I had tfc at 53points before sporting kc game, after sporting kc game expected points is around 51pts
basically an away game averages 1.1 pts and a home game averages 1.8 pts
im in 223...and its brutal..so much so i may move next season,i miss half the game because of these people going up and down,i had people walk in front of me in my row during the GIO free kick on weds night.
A 10 minute drive took Busa and I one hour.. We go to joes early, other wise if we were aiming for kick off, we would have been there past half time.
That's going to happen when the club decides to spend 6 years trying to destroy the fan base, I got to say they did a hell of a job. The repair is going to take long, but eventually (and hopefully) some of these tourists will become a full-time fan along with positive results.
More headshaking from 6fan. What's descent garbage? I know it's your first year posting but you need to realize what we've been watching. Less gifs and more perspective would give your posts a lot more credence here. Our defense got exposed this last game by a team above us. We're still in a playoff position.
FORMER FULL TIME KOOL-AID DRINKER
There was a huge different between a team that played same way what, 5 seasons in a row now and TFC. It's so freaking obvious that SKC will play some sort of high press 4-3-3 and TFC players couldn't adjust. SKC took away the centre of the pitch and Giovinco roamed around trying to get any sort of service but couldn't get any. Nobody was making intelligent runs to give a teammate an option to pass to. Hence why long balls to a set SKC defence ready to defend long balls.
It's amazing just what you can do with limited talent, but just hours of practice on the basics. SKC players don't panic on the ball under pressure. They can cushion a header or a short pass to a player while under pressure.
“Years have gone by and I’ve finally learned to accept myself for who I am: a beggar for good football.
I go about the world, hand outstretched, and in the stadiums I plead: ‘A pretty move, for the love of God.’
And when good football happens, I give thanks for the miracle and I don’t give a damn which team or country performs it.”
-Eduardo Galeano
This is exactly it. They played the press game on us to perfection and we had static players for the majority of the game. Our guys couldn't handle the pressure placed on them. This was reminiscent to that NYCFC game, except SKC did it without fouling as harshly. This is going to become more and more of a theme and one that Vanney et al. need to correct. Teams have seen that we can string together many passes and open up their defense for a goal and so they'll harass our mid in order to create turnovers before we can move it up to our front players.
Having said that.. we were oh so close to tying it on a number of occasions, so we handled them much better in the second half.. we just couldn't finish. That happens from time to time.
I guess the only good news is that such a high press strategy isn't a simple adjustment. What I mean is, it takes a lot of practice to be able to pull it off successfully, so it isn't something teams will be able to just use to adjust to us on the fly.
That said, Vanney really needs to find an answer to a team doing that, as if we DO make it into the playoffs, we can't just say "well, we can't beat this team, oh well".
? I seem to recall once Caldwell came in in '13 Henry was pretty steady and from July on hardly had any cards or egregious negative plays, compared to the first half of the season.
I wear those homer goggles, so if I'm going to be fair, Perquis (or Kantari from what we've seen so far) is not the guy who is going to bring Zavaleta along. Honestly both those guys reek of third party scouting to me and TFC really needs to make finding a CB anchor/leader a priority.
After watching NYRB do much of the same thing last night and making Lampard and Pirlo look old and decrepit, I am coming to the conclusion that the MLS press can be a fine thing to watch....if you are a neutral.
I couldn't stand watching that every week - would go nuts.
Glad our offence plays like it does. That goal was mighty fine.
Now, just fix the defence.
TFC really missed Perquis and esp Cheyrou's long range passing ability. Their passing would have stretched the field more, and SKC might not have pressed hard and pinched the midfield, allowing TFC mid a little more room to operate. A DM with passing ability is a must in a 4-4-2 diamond I find.
“Years have gone by and I’ve finally learned to accept myself for who I am: a beggar for good football.
I go about the world, hand outstretched, and in the stadiums I plead: ‘A pretty move, for the love of God.’
And when good football happens, I give thanks for the miracle and I don’t give a damn which team or country performs it.”
-Eduardo Galeano