Toronto FC Playoff Race - The Odds Calculated

[alexintoronto]

This site calculates the odds of Toronto FC making the Playoffs and is updated throughout the season. After the first game we had a 73.8% chance of making the playoffs. It also takes into account other teams wins and losses to help determine the outcome we should be hoping for. This will be a lot more interesting as the season progresses.

Toronto FC Page:
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/East/TorontoFC.html

MLS Ranking can be found here http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th
Game 4 Tie 1-1 - 52.5% - 8th
Game 5 Loss 3-2 - 38.6% - 10th
Game 6 Win 1-0 - 55.5% - 8th
Game 7 Win 1-0 - 72.3% - 6th
Game 8 Tie 1-1 - 65.2% - 7th
Game 9 Tie 3-3 - 66.3% - 7th
Game 10 Loss 2-0 - 51.3% - 9th

[Ossington Mental Youth]

bit soon for this

[ensco]

Raptors hanging tough with 0.00039% chance.

[TFC John]

Facinating site. Thanks.

[TFCREDNWHITE]

Raptors hanging tough with 0.00039% chance.

HAHAHHAHA

[Blufkin]

great site, thanks

[RPB_RED_NATION_RPB]

Raptors hanging tough with 0.00039% chance.

Leafs....hanging as well! 0.0480333333%

[Cashcleaner]

Crazy site! Too...Many...Numbers...

[Brooker]

Red Bulls lost to Sounders 0-3, odds of making the playoffs down 14.3% to 39.2%

Crew tied Dynamo 1-1, odds of making the playoffs down 2.7% to 50.8%


so basically shouldn't they do the honorable thing and forfeit now?

[drewski]

hmm, down 0.9% after tying the champs

[alexintoronto]

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th

[Frank Costanza]

this site is cool, and more useful deeper into the season and in sports that play 80+ games with 30 teams, Bob mcowan had the site creator on prime time sports yesterday very interesting system he has in place

[alexintoronto]

MLS Ranking can be found here http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th

[alexintoronto]

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th
Game 4 Tie 1-1 - 52.5% - 8th

[alexintoronto]

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th
Game 4 Tie 1-1 - 52.5% - 8th
Game 5 Loss 3-2 - 38.6% - 10th
Game 6 Win 1-0 - 55.5% - 8th
Game 7 Win 1-0 - 72.3% - 6th
Game 8 Tie 1-1 - 65.2% - 7th
Game 9 Tie 3-3 - 66.3% - 7th
Game 10 Loss 2-0 - 51.3% - 9th

[TorontoBlades]

^ maybe some time in the real world might do ya some good

[mighty_torontofc_2008]

51.3 % is still not bad...

[billyfly]

This site calculates the odds of Toronto FC making the Playoffs and is updated throughout the season. After the first game we had a 73.8% chance of making the playoffs. It also takes into account other teams wins and losses to help determine the outcome we should be hoping for. This will be a lot more interesting as the season progresses.

Toronto FC Page:
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/East/TorontoFC.html

MLS Ranking can be found here http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th
Game 4 Tie 1-1 - 52.5% - 8th
Game 5 Loss 3-2 - 38.6% - 10th
Game 6 Win 1-0 - 55.5% - 8th
Game 7 Win 1-0 - 72.3% - 6th
Game 8 Tie 1-1 - 65.2% - 7th
Game 9 Tie 3-3 - 66.3% - 7th
Game 10 Loss 2-0 - 51.3% - 9th

Holy cow, I have been talking about this site for weeks! http://www.redpatchboys.ca/forums/sh...ad.php?t=12155

Thanks Alex for posting this as well b/c I think this site rocks. I was even thinking of asking Denime to add it to the daily news.

[hrvat87]

um to the person that started this thread...i have a question for you...do u kno how games were into the season?dont you think it's just a lil early for this?

[Oldtimer]

Jays, 86.0%. Time to jump on the bandwagon. http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/A.../BlueJays.html

Seriouxly, it's still a bit early to have accurate odds of TFC making the playoffs. After the next 10 games, it should be a big enough base of games to make an accurate prediction.

[Big Bruva]

TFC are nowhere near playoff talk yet, they need to make sure they get 3 points this sat coz if not it could start to get sticky as the Crew are bottom and basically right behind TFC so that shows how tight the east is and TFC will be on the road.

[rocker]

so the Crew only have a 29% chance of making the playoffs. Shite Bulls = 13.8%. hahaha.. the cup finalists last year...

[T_Mizz]

Jays, 86.0%. Time to jump on the bandwagon. http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/A.../BlueJays.html

Seriouxly, it's still a bit early to have accurate odds of TFC making the playoffs. After the next 10 games, it should be a big enough base of games to make an accurate prediction.

[billyfly]

The website takes your record against all clubs and other clubs records against every other team in the league (based on that year's schedule).

Obviously the website's odds are more accurate after every subsequent game.

[Juanito]

^^
It is most accurate after the last game of the season. Statistical probability... 100%