Originally Posted by
ensco
^I don't think it's “analysis”, it doesn’t tell us why. It's just another way of saying we consistently underperformed across many games, and that bettors always believed that there would be mean reversion. As I did.
I could also make the same point by saying we have six home losses, or we have as many losses so far in 2018 as we had in 2016 and 2017 combined.
The part about the impact of injuries being 9 points is definitely not analysis, that part is purely subjective. Injuries lowered expected ppg in almost every game, which is the thing you really want to understand (but can’t, the odds for a full squad scenario game by game don’t exist)
Injuries were the story in 2018. Compounded by an unfair schedule with a huge number of games on no rest after long flights.