That isn't what the xG stats means. It's just the chances of scoring from a shot from that spot. Doesn't mean that it's saved 97% of the time.Quote:
Originally Posted by stevep
That isn't what the xG stats means. It's just the chances of scoring from a shot from that spot. Doesn't mean that it's saved 97% of the time.Quote:
Originally Posted by stevep
You mean shots could be blockedQuote:
Originally Posted by Canary10
Or shot off the net
is that what you mean
My understanding is that xG doesn't consider the quality of the shot from that spot. It's based on the average shot from that position. So, maybe Bono could have/should have stopped the first goal, but it was a hard shot driven into the top corner. That shot certainly goes in more often than 3% of the timeQuote:
Originally Posted by stevep
That's not at all what that means, like at all. If I flip a coin I've a 50% chance of it landing on heads. That doesn't mean that the person I'm betting against should prevent it from landing on heads 50% of the time, and that if it lands on heads this one time they've done anything wrong. If Messi scores an absolute world class goal from a tight angle with a 2.5% xg that doesn't mean a better goalkeeper saves it 97.5% of the time, if the shots good enough, every goalkeeper saves it 0% of the time.Quote:
Originally Posted by stevep
Think people are very results orientated. We were the better team and we win that game more often than we lose. I think we still have issues (Not great on the full back, still think Michael Bradley is a huge issue and was very poor last night, we continue to use our best player by a wide margin in a less than efficient manner) but overall we're doing okay with the resources we have and played decently. The real test now is who else we can get in and what we do with them once we have it
It's your football club, not a happy meal. Had you ever onceQuote:
Originally Posted by stevep
posted anything that wasn't petulant whining people might take some of your incessant bitching seriously, rather than mocking it.
Take your mock outrage back to whineville, you sound like an
Impact fan.
Well it is a change from the whole "MLS is corrupt & all the games are fixed" stuff we used to hear from certain quarters.
***********
Complain, sure.
Constantly find the worst & only be on here during the worst? :troll:
So Im not sure what the majority of y'all saw. But what I saw every time TFC had possession was 1 TFC player with the ball surrounded by 2-3 CLB players consistently.
No one made a move or provided support it was literally always TFC being out numbered offensively and even defensively CLB always had more players surrounding TFC.
The high press doesnt work as Bradley' isnt clutch - as you seen from the easy tap in he had. I do feel bad as the whole stadium doesnt understand his shooting accuracy and it is unfortunate twice in the game he had the best chance to shoot from 18 Yards out.
The game definitely changed when OSO jumped in, the most annoying part is the backwards passing or the obvious passing from inexperienced players to, bradley or poz everytime without fail.
This changed once OSO was on, OSO and POZ and sometimes Jesus would play within themselves - with OSO the ball kept moving forward and his subtle shifts opened up so much. The key factor was they never even looked to the center of the pitch to involve bradley except when they need a release valve.
The backwards passing and always going to bradley or pozo is something that is being coached in them including poz - he isnt the same player and doesnt make sense that he was receiving the ball in front of TFC's CB-no sense at all.
I get he is doing well and great at tackling but - I rather conserve his energy in the offensive side of the field.
Nelson was bad.
Bono was bad - made one pass by his feet rest with his arms- no command and control by contrast to when Q salcedo and mavinga were playing.
Happy for Jesus goal- the wins against shitty teams doesnt change the fact this team and the payroll should be in a much better position -especially considering the fact manning has been here and a consistent for years.
Im not sold on Bob- as he seems sometimes his choices are personal based vs performance based.
The game was boring and the build up was insanely slow- compared to the two previous wins.
why it took Q to get a look that long into the season never makes sense- the shut out was first of the season but first in two seasons -correct going back to 41 games or something?
crowed clearly was not impressed.
actually i was quite complimentary of tfc after the impact game.Quote:
Originally Posted by jloome
Well said and fully agreed.Quote:
Originally Posted by FootBallAZ
My question, the elephant in the room if you will, what would it take for Bradley jr to get benched or subbed? No matter how he plays, he stays on. Will his dad ever bench him if he isn't playing well?
Agreed.Quote:
Originally Posted by stevep
I sat through that opening day s.hit show and was fuming. That wasn't even competing, that was an absolute embarrassment. Am excited about Isngine coming though, can't wait to see him on the 9th. HIm and Poz and Jimenez should make a great trio.
I say not until Priso shows he can do the job consistently as good as Bradley or else in 2024. Whichever comes first. At present I expect MB to start this year and next no matter how tattered and worn down he must be.Quote:
Originally Posted by Hala Hrvatska
it's a fair question but not too relevant so far this year as he's been one of our better/ best players.Quote:
Originally Posted by Hala Hrvatska
there's no point in the season so far where i thought we'd have been improved by taking MB off.
Yeah, exactly. Shots from outside the box almost always have a lower xG than closer range. It was actually a great strike imo that Bono didn't have much chance on. Should really have been closed down by a defender though.Quote:
Originally Posted by stevep
did Bono have a chance on that shotQuote:
Originally Posted by Canary10
let’s analyze and see
a quick search on Google yielded the following
On a penalty kick the keeper can move from the centre of the net to one of the posts in 600 milliseconds
the shot arrives in approximately 500milliseconds
now the Columbus shot was taken roughly at twice the distance from goal as the distance a penalty kick
I actually watched it on YouTube and it took around 800milliseconds ( I timed it)
now Bono did not have to move the full four yards from the centre to the post
he only had to move about one yard
so his travel time is roughly 150 milliseconds
also, watch the play on YouTube in 0.25 speed
Bono dives sideways not upwards to meet the ball
So to sum up travel time 800milliseconds of ball
time Bono needed to get to ball 150milliseconds
you make your own conclusion
i have made mine but I’m not going to post it
this is why expected goal is 2.5% or slightly more maybe doubleQuote:
Originally Posted by stevep
the physics don’t lie
The XG should just be double whenever Bono is in net.Quote:
Originally Posted by stevep
He pulled a very similar stunt in the Columbus game earlier in the yearQuote:
Originally Posted by Ultra & Proud
A grandmother could have stopped that shot in the Columbus game in March
please explain to me how he does not stop that shot
watch it slow motion on YouTube
he had to move a foot to reach the shot
Prediction: Bono takes massive pay cut on his next contract (hopefully somewhere else).
Question: How does he play so badly, but never gets called out by the media that follows the team? Except for little comments in-game. Is he so sensitive he can’t take it? If so, professional sports is probably not his thing.
I could see him take a Zavaleta type deal to be a back up at LAG and Vanney will use him more than he should.Quote:
Originally Posted by Kamp Berg
Sounds about right, all the power to him.Quote:
Originally Posted by Ultra & Proud
Quote:
Originally Posted by leedsandTFC
exactly.
I'm not trying to defend him on this as I also thought he should have saved the shot. But in the replay I saw him leaning to his right because it looked like he was screened and then the shot went to his left and he didn't react quick enough