TFC/MLS Rough Standing Projections

[BendItLikeGio]

Something Fun to look at weekly, i will try update. Standings as of now, paired with Potential(Max Pts they can get), PPG(Points per Game) or Potential2 (some ExcelFun, using the Current Team Trend to Project Final Points). Enjoy



Eastern Conference

Western Conference


Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2

Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2


Atlanta
10
7
1
2
22
94
2.200
75

Sporting KC
11
7
2
2
23
92
2.091
71


NYCFC
10
6
2
2
20
92
2.000
68

LAFC
9
6
1
2
19
94
2.111
72


Orlando
9
6
1
2
19
94
2.111
72

Vancouver
10
4
1
5
13
85
1.300
44


Columbus
11
5
3
3
18
87
1.636
56

FC Dallas
8
3
4
1
13
91
1.625
55


NYRB
8
5
0
3
15
93
1.875
64

Minnesota
10
4
0
6
12
84
1.200
41


New England
9
4
2
3
14
89
1.556
53

Houstan
8
3
2
3
11
89
1.375
47


Chicago
9
3
2
4
11
86
1.222
42

Portland
8
3
2
3
11
89
1.375
47


Montreal
10
3
0
7
9
81
0.900
31

LA Galaxy
9
3
1
5
10
85
1.111
38


Philadelphia
9
2
2
5
8
83
0.889
30

Real Salt
9
3
1
5
10
85
1.111
38


TFC
8
2
1
5
7
85
0.875
30

Colorado
8
2
2
4
8
86
1.000
34


DC United
7
1
2
4
5
86
0.714
24

Seattle
8
2
2
4
8
86
1.000
34












San Jose
8
1
2
5
5
83
0.625
21

[fergiejr]

At least I'm not the only one who has fun with excel... :-)

[BendItLikeGio]

This just keeps getting worse



Eastern Conference

Western Conference


Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2

Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2


Atlanta
11
8
1
2
25
94
2.273
77

Sporting KC
11
7
2
2
23
92
2.091
71


NYCFC
11
6
3
2
21
90
1.909
65

LAFC
10
6
2
2
20
92
2.000
68


Columbus
12
6
3
3
21
87
1.750
60

FC Dallas
9
4
4
1
16
91
1.778
60


Orlando
10
6
1
3
19
91
1.900
65

Vancouver
11
4
2
5
14
83
1.273
43


NYRB
9
6
0
3
18
93
2.000
68

Portland
9
4
2
3
14
89
1.556
53


New England
10
5
2
3
17
89
1.700
58

Real Salt
10
4
1
5
13
85
1.300
44


Chicago
10
3
2
5
11
83
1.100
37

Minnesota
11
4
0
7
12
81
1.091
37


Philadelphia
10
3
2
5
11
83
1.100
37

Houstan
9
3
3
3
12
87
1.333
45


Montreal
11
3
0
8
9
78
0.818
28

LA Galaxy
10
3
1
6
10
82
1.000
34


TFC
9
2
1
6
7
82
0.778
26

Colorado
9
2
2
5
8
83
0.889
30


DC United
8
1
2
5
5
83
0.625
21

Seattle
9
2
2
5
8
83
0.889
30












San Jose
9
2
2
5
8
83
0.889
30

[OgtheDim]

Its useful though - thanks.

[BendItLikeGio]

Montreal in our shadows, already ;). Lets just start chipping away to the top



Eastern Conference

Western Conference


Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2

Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2


Atlanta
12
8
1
3
25
91
2.083
71

Sporting KC
12
7
3
2
24
90
2.000
68


NYCFC
12
7
3
2
24
90
2.000
68

LAFC
11
6
2
3
20
89
1.818
62


Columbus
13
7
3
3
24
87
1.846
63

FC Dallas
10
4
5
1
17
89
1.700
58


NYRB
10
7
0
3
21
93
2.100
71

Portland
10
5
2
3
17
89
1.700
58


Orlando
11
6
1
4
19
88
1.727
59

Vancouver
13
4
4
5
16
79
1.231
42


New England
11
5
2
4
17
86
1.545
53

Houstan
10
4
3
3
15
87
1.500
51


Philadelphia
11
4
2
5
14
83
1.273
43

Real Salt
11
4
1
6
13
82
1.182
40


Chicago
11
3
2
6
11
80
1.000
34

Minnesota
12
4
1
7
13
79
1.083
37


TFC
10
3
1
6
10
82
1.000
34

LA Galaxy
11
4
1
6
13
82
1.182
40


Montreal
12
3
0
9
9
75
0.750
26

San Jose
11
2
3
6
9
78
0.818
28


DC United
9
2
2
5
8
83
0.889
30

Colorado
10
2
2
6
8
80
0.800
27












Seattle
9
2
2
5
8
83
0.889
30

[TFC1154ever]

If our goal is catching 4th place, and hosting a 1st round playoff series, I think at this point, Columbus is more realistic to catch than the Red Bulls. They got KC this week in KC. One of the tougher road games in the MLS. If they lose that, and we can find a way to get 3 points again against Dallas, we set up a huge matchup next week against Columbus in Columbus. We’d be 11 points back, with 3 games in hand going into that match.

[KingLedley]

Will we finish top 6? Not expecting to finish above ATL and NYR but not sure about Columbus, and maybe NYCFC will crack if Viera leaves unexpectedly (even with the huge points differential). As for the rest, I think we have six must win games.... Chicago home and away, Philly away, Orlando away, and the Revs at home. If we can do this then we should finish top six.

[BendItLikeGio]

We also have NYRB home and away, Atlanta Home & Away. Luckily majority of our games we lost were West Conf, except for Columbus & Montreal, and tie with Chicago. We have alot of games against the east left, and alot of room to move up the standings. This weeks Dallas will be a good test against a undefeated team, if we pick up here and go into Columbus with 2 big wins we can pull that off, which makes us move up quite a bit.

[BendItLikeGio]

A lot of teams in the east dropped points, however we weren't able to capitalize on gaining ground.



Eastern Conference

Western Conference


Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2

Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2


Atlanta
12
8
1
3
25
91
2.083
71

Sporting KC
13
7
4
2
25
88
1.923
65


Columbus
14
7
4
3
25
85
1.786
61

LAFC
12
6
3
3
21
87
1.750
60


NYCFC
13
7
3
3
24
87
1.846
63

FC Dallas
11
5
5
1
20
89
1.818
62


NYRB
11
7
1
3
22
91
2.000
68

Portland
11
6
2
3
20
89
1.818
62


Orlando
12
6
1
5
19
85
1.583
54

Houstan
11
5
3
3
18
87
1.636
56


New England
12
5
3
4
18
84
1.500
51

Vancouver
14
4
5
5
17
77
1.214
41


Philadelphia
12
4
3
5
15
81
1.250
43

Real Salt
12
5
1
6
16
82
1.333
45


Chicago
12
4
2
6
14
80
1.167
40

Minnesota
13
5
1
7
16
79
1.231
42


TFC
11
3
1
7
10
79
0.909
31

LA Galaxy
12
5
1
6
16
82
1.333
45


Montreal
13
3
0
10
9
72
0.692
24

San Jose
12
2
3
7
9
75
0.750
26


DC United
10
2
3
5
9
81
0.900
31

Colorado
11
2
2
7
8
77
0.727
25












Seattle
10
2
2
6
8
80
0.800
27

[BendItLikeGio]

this just keeps getting worse



Eastern Conference

Western Conference


Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2

Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2


Atlanta
14
9
2
3
29
89
2.071
70

Sporting KC
14
8
4
2
28
88
2.000
68


NYCFC
14
8
3
3
27
87
1.929
66

FC Dallas
13
7
5
1
26
89
2.000
68


Columbus
15
7
5
3
26
83
1.733
59

Real Salt
14
7
1
6
22
82
1.571
53


New England
12
7
1
4
22
88
1.833
62

LAFC
13
6
3
4
21
84
1.615
55


NYRB
14
6
4
4
22
82
1.571
53

Portland
12
6
3
3
21
87
1.750
60


Orlando
13
6
1
6
19
82
1.462
50

Vancouver
15
5
5
5
20
77
1.333
45


Philadelphia
14
5
3
6
18
78
1.286
44

Houstan
13
5
3
5
18
81
1.385
47


Chicago
14
5
2
7
17
77
1.214
41

LA Galaxy
14
5
2
7
17
77
1.214
41


Montreal
14
4
0
10
12
72
0.857
29

Minnesota
14
5
1
8
16
76
1.143
39


TFC
12
3
2
7
11
77
0.917
31

San Jose
13
2
3
8
9
72
0.692
24


DC United
10
2
3
5
9
81
0.900
31

Seattle
12
2
2
8
8
74
0.667
23












Colorado
11
2
2
7
8
77
0.727
25

[Graeme]

Something Fun to look at weekly, i will try update. Standings as of now, paired with Potential(Max Pts they can get), PPG(Points per Game) or Potential2 (some ExcelFun, using the Current Team Trend to Project Final Points). Enjoy

Is the "potential" column what happens if that particular team wins all the rest of their games? (Obviously not every team could hit those numbers as they all play each other)

[urdiub]

Maybe you could consider a separate projection column that includes an average of this years and last years PPG, to calculate the remaining points at the end of the season.

Something for TFC would look like - (0.917 (2018 PPG) + 2.029 (2017 PPG))/2 = 1.473 PPG

Therefore TFC's weighted projection would be 22 remaining games at 1.473 PPG = 32 points plus 11 (2018 points thus far) for a final projection of 43 points.

This way you can sort of get a true meaning for the team. Obviously this wouldn't work so well for outliers like Seattle - 53 pts last year, dumpster fire this year (or even us as well because I think we can do better than 43) - but I still think you can get a more accurate projected number.

[BendItLikeGio]

Standings right now, season starting back up tomorrow around the league, lets see if WorldCup break will be a good thing for us.



Eastern Conference

Western Conference


Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2

Club
MP
W
D
L
Pts
Potential
PPG
Potential2


Atlanta
16
10
3
3
33
87
2.063
70

Sporting KC
15
8
5
2
29
86
1.933
66


NYCFC
15
8
4
3
28
85
1.867
63

FC Dallas
14
8
5
1
29
89
2.071
70


Columbus
17
7
6
4
27
78
1.588
54

LAFC
14
7
3
4
24
84
1.714
58


NYRB
14
8
2
4
26
86
1.857
63

Vancouver
16
6
5
5
23
77
1.438
49


New England
16
6
6
4
24
78
1.500
51

Real Salt
15
7
1
7
22
79
1.467
50


Orlando
15
6
1
8
19
76
1.267
43

Portland
13
6
4
3
22
85
1.692
58


Chicago
16
5
4
7
19
73
1.188
40

Houstan
14
6
3
5
21
81
1.500
51


Philadelphia
15
5
3
7
18
75
1.200
41

LA Galaxy
15
6
2
7
20
77
1.333
45


Montreal
16
5
0
11
15
69
0.938
32

Minnesota
14
5
1
8
16
76
1.143
39


TFC
14
4
3
7
15
75
1.071
36

Seattle
13
3
2
8
11
74
0.846
29


DC United
12
2
4
6
10
76
0.833
28

San Jose
15
2
4
9
10
67
0.667
23












Colorado
14
2
3
9
9
69
0.643
22