PDA

View Full Version : Toronto FC Playoff Race - The Odds Calculated



alexintoronto
03-26-2009, 11:45 AM
This site calculates the odds of Toronto FC making the Playoffs and is updated throughout the season. After the first game we had a 73.8% chance of making the playoffs. It also takes into account other teams wins and losses to help determine the outcome we should be hoping for. This will be a lot more interesting as the season progresses.

Toronto FC Page:
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/East/TorontoFC.html (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/East/TorontoFC.html)

MLS Ranking can be found here http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th
Game 4 Tie 1-1 - 52.5% - 8th
Game 5 Loss 3-2 - 38.6% - 10th
Game 6 Win 1-0 - 55.5% - 8th
Game 7 Win 1-0 - 72.3% - 6th
Game 8 Tie 1-1 - 65.2% - 7th
Game 9 Tie 3-3 - 66.3% - 7th
Game 10 Loss 2-0 - 51.3% - 9th

Ossington Mental Youth
03-26-2009, 11:46 AM
bit soon for this

ensco
03-26-2009, 11:50 AM
Raptors hanging tough with 0.00039% chance.

TFC John
03-26-2009, 11:51 AM
Facinating site. Thanks.

TFCREDNWHITE
03-26-2009, 11:53 AM
Raptors hanging tough with 0.00039% chance.

HAHAHHAHA:D

Blufkin
03-26-2009, 12:05 PM
great site, thanks

RPB_RED_NATION_RPB
03-26-2009, 12:22 PM
Raptors hanging tough with 0.00039% chance.



Leafs....hanging as well! ;) 0.0480333333%

Cashcleaner
03-26-2009, 12:38 PM
Crazy site! Too...Many...Numbers...

Brooker
03-26-2009, 12:41 PM
Red Bulls lost to Sounders 0-3, odds of making the playoffs down 14.3% to 39.2%

Crew tied Dynamo 1-1, odds of making the playoffs down 2.7% to 50.8%


so basically shouldn't they do the honorable thing and forfeit now?

drewski
03-31-2009, 09:12 AM
hmm, down 0.9% after tying the champs

alexintoronto
03-31-2009, 10:00 AM
Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th

Frank Costanza
03-31-2009, 10:14 AM
this site is cool, and more useful deeper into the season and in sports that play 80+ games with 30 teams, Bob mcowan had the site creator on prime time sports yesterday very interesting system he has in place

alexintoronto
04-05-2009, 03:31 PM
(http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/East/TorontoFC.html)

MLS Ranking can be found here http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th

alexintoronto
04-18-2009, 12:04 PM
Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th
Game 4 Tie 1-1 - 52.5% - 8th

alexintoronto
05-19-2009, 09:09 PM
Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th
Game 4 Tie 1-1 - 52.5% - 8th
Game 5 Loss 3-2 - 38.6% - 10th
Game 6 Win 1-0 - 55.5% - 8th
Game 7 Win 1-0 - 72.3% - 6th
Game 8 Tie 1-1 - 65.2% - 7th
Game 9 Tie 3-3 - 66.3% - 7th
Game 10 Loss 2-0 - 51.3% - 9th

TorontoBlades
05-19-2009, 09:28 PM
^ maybe some time in the real world might do ya some good

mighty_torontofc_2008
05-19-2009, 09:41 PM
51.3 % is still not bad...

billyfly
05-19-2009, 10:54 PM
This site calculates the odds of Toronto FC making the Playoffs and is updated throughout the season. After the first game we had a 73.8% chance of making the playoffs. It also takes into account other teams wins and losses to help determine the outcome we should be hoping for. This will be a lot more interesting as the season progresses.

Toronto FC Page:
http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/East/TorontoFC.html (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS/East/TorontoFC.html)

MLS Ranking can be found here http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html (http://www.sportsclubstats.com/USA/MLS.html)

Game #- Result- Score - Odds - Ranking
Game 1 Win 3-2 -73.8% - 2nd
Game 2 Tie 1-1 - 72.8% - 4th
Game 3 Loss 2-0 - 56.1% - 8th
Game 4 Tie 1-1 - 52.5% - 8th
Game 5 Loss 3-2 - 38.6% - 10th
Game 6 Win 1-0 - 55.5% - 8th
Game 7 Win 1-0 - 72.3% - 6th
Game 8 Tie 1-1 - 65.2% - 7th
Game 9 Tie 3-3 - 66.3% - 7th
Game 10 Loss 2-0 - 51.3% - 9th

Holy cow, I have been talking about this site for weeks! http://www.redpatchboys.ca/forums/showthread.php?t=12155

Thanks Alex for posting this as well b/c I think this site rocks. I was even thinking of asking Denime to add it to the daily news.

hrvat87
05-19-2009, 11:24 PM
um to the person that started this thread...i have a question for you...do u kno how games were into the season?dont you think it's just a lil early for this?

Oldtimer
05-20-2009, 07:37 AM
Jays, 86.0%. Time to jump on the bandwagon. :lol: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/American/East/BlueJays.html

Seriouxly, it's still a bit early to have accurate odds of TFC making the playoffs. After the next 10 games, it should be a big enough base of games to make an accurate prediction.

Big Bruva
05-20-2009, 08:22 AM
TFC are nowhere near playoff talk yet, they need to make sure they get 3 points this sat coz if not it could start to get sticky as the Crew are bottom and basically right behind TFC so that shows how tight the east is and TFC will be on the road.

rocker
05-20-2009, 08:45 AM
so the Crew only have a 29% chance of making the playoffs. Shite Bulls = 13.8%. hahaha.. the cup finalists last year...

T_Mizz
05-20-2009, 09:13 AM
Jays, 86.0%. Time to jump on the bandwagon. :lol: http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/American/East/BlueJays.html

Seriouxly, it's still a bit early to have accurate odds of TFC making the playoffs. After the next 10 games, it should be a big enough base of games to make an accurate prediction.
:D:lol:

billyfly
05-20-2009, 04:59 PM
The website takes your record against all clubs and other clubs records against every other team in the league (based on that year's schedule).

Obviously the website's odds are more accurate after every subsequent game.

Juanito
05-20-2009, 11:04 PM
^^
It is most accurate after the last game of the season. Statistical probability... 100%